Betting on World Cup Corners

Betting on World Cup Corners

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Corner betting has steadily grown in popularity thanks to the value on offer. Corner markets often have odds discrepancies which can help bettors turn a larger profit.

Corners had a dramatic impact on the 2018 World Cup with 76% of the goals scored from corner kicks resulting in a team’s victory or a draw. Below you’ll find all the relevant information to bet on corners during the upcoming 2022 FIFA World Cup.

World Cup average corners

During the 2018 World Cup an average of 9.5 corner kicks were taken per match. The rate of corner kicks proved to be slightly less than the previous tournaments, with the average number of corners per game usually around 10 or more.

Year Average corners per match
2018 9.5
2014 10.4
2010 9.8
2006 10.2
2002 9.7

Corners betting analysis

There are several ways to determine which teams are most likely to win corners and which teams are more susceptible to concede them.

The fundamental basics of corners are:

  • An attacking team needs to have the ball.
  • They need to shoot for goal.
  • The defending team need to deflect the shot.
  • The deflected shot passes the goal line.

This means that you can analyze the following 2 points:

Possession

If we use Brazil as an example, you can see that they have an average of 58.6% possession in the 2018 World Cup table and that they also recorded an average of 8.2 corners per 2018 World Cup match.

If you compare this to a team such as Sweden with an average of 37.6% possession you’ll find that they recorded fewer corners, in this instance an average of 3.2.

This supports the basic premise that more possession results in more corners and vice versa.

Shots

A good indicator of offensive dominance is a team that takes a lot of shots. Shots naturally contribute to corners as they will often be deflected or saved and result in a corner. Germany’s 24 shots per match correlates with more possession and average corners.

When comparing these points to the table below, the connection between possession, shots, and corners are obvious.

2018 World Cup Team Stats

Games Country Corners Avg. Corners Possession % Avg. Shots
5 Brazil 41 8.2 58.6 20.8
7 Croatia 40 5.7 56.6 16.1
7 Belgium 40 5.7 52.9 15.1
7 England 39 5.6 54.4 13.4
7 France 21 3.0 48.6 11.6
5 Russia 26 5.2 37.6 9.6
5 Uruguay 18 3.6 47.7 12.0
5 Sweden 16 3.2 37.6 11.0
4 Switzerland 26 6.5 58.8 14.3
4 Spain 24 6.0 74.7 18.0
4 Argentina 24 6.0 65.3 13.8
4 Portugal 24 6.0 53.8 13.3
4 Mexico 20 5.0 52.5 15.0
4 Japan 19 4.8 53.0 10.5
4 Denmark 18 4.6 43.8 9.8
4 Colombia 13 3.3 50.5 9.8
3 Germany 25 8.3 72.0 24.0
3 Iceland 18 6.0 33.0 11.0
3 Poland 17 5.7 50.3 10.3
3 South Korea 15 5.0 37.3 11.3
3 Australia 14 4.7 51.7 11.0
3 Nigeria 14 4.7 47.3 13.0
3 Saudi Arabia 13 4.3 59.0 12.3
3 Morocco 13 4.3 49.0 11.3
3 Serbia 12 4.0 42.7 11.0
3 Costa Rica 11 3.7 39.3 9.0
3 Tunisia 10 3.3 52.7 12.0
3 Peru 9 3.0 50.3 10.3
3 Senegal 9 3.0 42.0 10.0
3 Egypt 6 2.0 43.3 9.3
3 Panama 5 1.7 36.0 8.0
3 Iran 5 1.7 26.5 7.7

Live betting on corners

It’s widely accepted that corners come in clusters. This doesn’t necessarily mean that a corner will always be followed by another one, but that corners usually come in bursts of 2, 3, or more.

Time intervals

From the 2018 World Cup’s 606 corner kicks, more corners were taken in the middle time interval of both halves of the match than any other interval:

  • 107 corners (17.7%) between the 16th and 30th minutes.
  • 126 (20.8%) between the 61st and 75th minutes.

Historically the most World Cup corner kicks were taken in the first and last 30 minutes of the matches.

Corners per half

Despite there being an abundance of corners kicks in both halves of the 2018 World Cup, the 2nd half featured more corners than the first:

  • 1st half – 265 corners (43.7%).
  • 2nd half – 341 corners (56.3%).

Pressure points

Whenever a losing team is under pressure in a World Cup match and is down by only 1 goal with less than 15 minutes remaining in the match, be sure to bet on the Over bet as corners will occur more frequently.

The losing side will inevitably take more risks to score in the little time remaining which will lead to quick but poor guided shots at goal. It can be assumed that the winning team’s defense would tire by this stage of the match which could result in deflections ending as corner kicks as opposed to controlled takeovers.

Popular corner betting types

There are a variety of corner betting markets on offer at Cloudbet (review) and Stake (review, bettors are geo-blocked). The most basic market is to bet on the total number of corners won by both sides in a match.

Over/Under corners betting

This market refers to the total number of corner kicks taken during regular time.

You’ll notice that most sportsbooks feature a total goal count of 10.5 corners as it’s the common corners average. Since a team cannot be awarded half a corner, the winning result is limited to just 2 selections.

Example:
Over 10.5
Under 10.5

In a match between Mexico and Brazil you’ll be able to predict the corners combined will either be Over 10.5 corners (11 or more corners) or Under 10.5 (10 or less corners).

Handicap corners betting

This bet works the same way as an Asian handicap where 1 team is given an advantage (+) and the other stronger team a disadvantage (-) to level the playing field. The team that gets the most corners wins.

Example:
Mexico +3
Brazil -3

In this example Brazil would have to win 4 or more corners than Mexico. Mexico need the same amount of corners or 2 less corners than Brazil for the bet to win.